A researcher in an American University recently published a
paper stating that were the zombie apocalypse to arise, mankind would be
overrun within 100 days. I feel that this raises way more questions than it
answers. To begin with is the entirely serious question of what the mode of
transmission is; are we talking zombie nibbles here or is droplet infection a
concern? And do we presume a 100% infection rate on exposure? Is there a 100%
rate of mortality? I’m not sure that even the sweating sickness boasted those
stats. How soon after infection does zombie-dom start? All films and literature
seem to indicate seroconversion within minutes; that would tend to limit the
disease to one geographical area. Zombies are notoriously bad at catching
flights. The final concern to be addressed is whether or not our zombs are
super-speedy as in 28 Days Later, or if you can go out armed with a cricket bat
to do your grocery shopping as in Shaun of the Dead. “Barbara, I ran it under a
cold tap.”
In short, our American researcher has made some huge
assumptions in order to generate that figure of 100 days. So my advice is to
read this research with a pinch of salt when preparing for your very own zombie
apocalypse. But this did make me think
that possibly I should talk about some of the research that is being done by
scientists on our very own research vessel.
Recently I’ve been talking to Tracey Dornan about her
myctophids. Otherwise known as lantern fish, for the light generating organs on
their bodies, these fish are of particular interest because of the key position
that they occupy in the Antarctic food web. They prey upon zooplankton and in
turn are preyed upon by the seals and the penguins. Many people will tell you
that the Antarctic food chain turns on a tiny, shrimp like organism called krill.
The young krill feed on the algae that bloom under the sea ice. If the sea ice
melts or shifts further out to sea, the krill either diminish in numbers or
shift with the ice. This is a major problem for land based predators that rely
on the krill; penguins and seals have their young on land and the worry is that
as the krill numbers dwindle or move they may struggle. Enter the lanternfish. Recent
studies have shown that lanternfish may be more numerous than was previously
supposed and they may well be able to fill the niche previously occupied by the
krill.
Lanternfish (the small things that look like ball bearings are the light organs!) |
The other interesting aspect of the lanternfish is their role
in the carbon cycle. Lanternfish come up to the surface in the night in order
to feed on the zooplankton which live in the top strata of the water. Having
fed, they then descend with their carbon load to the deeper waters that form
their day-time home. The carbon-bearing material that they have consumed is
then digested and respired in these deeper waters and the carbon is thus locked
away into the deep ocean.
Tracey’s work looks at the use of acoustics to identify
lanternfish in the water. Up until now, scientists have relied on trawling for
fish and then picking over the catch to see what species predominate in the water.
This is a corner stone of marine research and is necessary to ground truth
acoustics (i.e. verify by another source) and to analyze marine community
composition. However this can only ever give a snapshot in space and time.
Acoustics refers to
the process by which the ship generates a sound wave which is then bounced back
to the ship by any surrounding bodies. It’s pretty much like an underwater
echo. The theory is that different organism types produce a different acoustic
return according to their typical density or size. And so it might be possible
to infer what type of fish are out there over much larger areas without
actually needing to pluck every single animal out of the water. Regrettably
lanternfish are a challenge to identify with acoustics. When the fish are young
some species have large swim bladders which are filled with air and therefore
they have a strong acoustic signal. As they get older and bigger, their swim
bladder shrinks. So although their size is greater and therefore their acoustic
signal should be correspondingly bigger, it isn’t. Tracey’s work is to try and characterise
the acoustic properties for the lanternfish that she has caught so that in
future we can use the acoustic signal to recognise similar types of organisms in
the water. Being able to spot these little guys in the water should mean that
we can estimate their numbers more effectively and to see both if they will be able
to fill vital niches in the Antarctic ecosystem and their role in the carbon
cycle in the face of climate change.
Returning to the theme of today’s foray into academia, I
have to consider my plans for any future apocalypses. Many years ago, after
reading a glut of science fiction novels, my sister and I came up with the JONES
MASTER PLAN FOR SURVIVAL. She will be raiding a library for books on farming
whilst I do over a hospital for medical supplies. We will reconvene and,
grabbing my parents en route, head for a lonely island with a windmill so that
we can have electricity. We’re taking my parents because neither of us is quite
brave enough to face the wrath of a zombie-mother. Regrettably I don’t think
the plans were updated since we finished reading all that John Wyndham so
frankly the boyfriends are likely to be left behind unless they’re present as
the outbreak happens. This IS survival people. And no; I’m not telling you the
name of our island. Get your own windmill!
*I promise; I’m not actually crazy. I don’t have a survival
pack. Nor do I watch Bear Grylls/Ray Mears reality TV shows excessively.
**As I type we’re rounding Adelaide Island and heading for
Rothera!
Icebergs |
Icebergs off Adelaide Island |
Adelaide Island filling the horizon |
Ha ha, been there done that, I just hope your island is not my island (and don't forget you have to take lots of tins, dried food and water to give you breathing space on honing your farming skills). Wasn't there a programme on the TV ?Survivers, about a similar thing? Don't remember what caused it, their apocalypse, but I do remember them using a long rubber hose to suck petrol out of a storage tank - silly things!
ReplyDeleteYes indeed! One of my favourite programmes ever. "Survivors" based on the book by Terry Nation. The original TV programme was done in the 70's and was about a woman called Abi Grant looking for her son in the wake of a bubonic plague outbreak. There were a lot of flared trousers (and some interesting social commentary)! Watching stuff like that as a kid is almost certainly why I'm so weird!
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